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Transport outlook : PLANET

The Belgian Federal Planning Bureau has developed  a model (PLANET) which models the interaction between the Economy and Transport. The construction of the model started in 2004. A first version became operational in 2008. The model is used to produce:

  • medium- and long-term projections of transport demand in Belgium, both for passenger and freight transport;
  • simulations of the effects of transport policy measures;
  • cost-benefit analyses of transport policy measures.

Description

The model consists of five main modules: MACRO, TRANSPORT, COST, POLICY and WELFARE.

  • The main aim of the MACRO module is to provide macroeconomic, demographic and sociodemographic projections at the level of the NUTS3 zones for Belgium.
  • The level and composition of transport demand is provided by the TRANSPORT module according to the following steps:
    • The generation of transport demand in each Belgian NUTS3 zone.
    • The distribution of transport originating in each NUTS3 zone among the different NUTS3 zones.
    • The modal choice and choice of time of day for the journey.
  • The COST module calculates transport costs. In addition, the module gives information:
    • on the environmental and accident-related costs of transport;
    • on net government revenue obtained from transport users and transport producers and
    • The POLICY module summarizes the transport policies that are analysed in the alternative scenarios.
  • Finally, the WELFARE module computes the effects of transport policy measures on welfare.

FOD MobiliteitThe long-term transport projections in Belgium and the impact analyses of transport policies are realized in collaboration with the Federal Public Service Mobility and Transport (www.mobilit.fgov.be).