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The Federal Planning Bureau (FPB) is a public agency. The FPB makes studies and projections on economic, social and environmental policy issues and on their integration within the context of sustainable development. For that purpose, the FPB collects and analyses data, explores plausible evolutions, identifies alternatives, evaluates the impact of policy measures and formulates proposals. Government, parliament, social partners and national and international institutions appeal to the FPB's scientific expertise. The FPB provides a large diffusion of its activities. The public is informed of the results of its research activities, which contributes to the democratic debate.

News

  • Bilan 2015 des indicateurs de développement durable (01/07/2015)

    Le Bureau fédéral du Plan publie aujourd’hui l’actualisation des indicateurs phares de sa liste d’indicateurs de développement durable. Ce bilan 2015 montre qu’en Belgique, si certains progrès ont été réalisés vers un développement durable, ils ne sont pas suffisants pour atteindre les objectifs fixés à long terme.

  • Évaluation de l’aide publique à la recherche et au développement dans les entreprises en Belgique (29/06/2015)

    Après une première analyse menée en 2012, le Bureau fédéral du Plan évalue à nouveau les avantages fiscaux fédéraux et les subventions régionales octroyés aux entreprises en vue de soutenir leurs investissements en recherche et développement (R&D). Il s’agit d’estimer la mesure dans laquelle l'aide publique a contribué à l'augmentation récente de l'intensité en R&D en Belgique.

  • La croissance de l’économie belge devrait atteindre 1,2% en 2015 et 1,5% en 2016 (11/06/2015)

    Conformément à la loi du 21 décembre 1994, l’Institut des Comptes nationaux a communiqué les chiffres du budget économique au ministre de l’Économie. Ces perspectives macroéconomiques s'inscrivent dans le cadre de la préparation du budget 2016.

  • Consumer Price Index & Inflation forecasts (02/06/2015)

    Monthly evolution of the consumer price index and of the so-called health index, which is used for the price indexation of wages, social benefits and house-rent.

  • Offres d'emplois (22/05/2015)

    Le Bureau fédéral du Plan recrute 7 experts dans les domaines des pensions, prévisions macro- économiques et comptes environnementaux.

  • Des perspectives pour l’économie belge caractérisées par un retour de la croissance, des créations d’emploi soutenues et une réduction des déficits publics (12/05/2015)

    Les « Perspectives économiques 2015-2020 » annoncent une reprise de la croissance de l’économie belge. Bien que relativement modeste (1,5 % en moyenne annuelle), cette croissance irait de pair avec une progression assez soutenue de l’emploi (près de 34 000 par an en moyenne). Le poids économique de l’ensemble des administrations publiques, notamment en termes d’emploi, serait en recul, ce qui contribue, avec la baisse des charges d’intérêt, à la réduction très significative du déficit public, qui s’établirait à 1,1 % du PIB à l’horizon 2020.

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Consumer price index & Inflation forecasts

Monthly evolution of the consumer price index and of the so-called health index, which is used for the price indexation of wages, social benefits and house-rent.

  • Potential output growth in Belgium since the crisis - Lower and more uncertain (01/07/2015)

    The uncertainty surrounding the estimates of potential output has risen in the euro area countries since the outbreak of the financial crisis. Moreover, potential growth in the euro area has fallen since 2009. In this working paper we examine both phenomena for Belgium based on potential GDP estimates produced by the Federal Planning Bureau. We also analyse the evolution of the three main underlying determinants of potential growth, namely the contribution of labour, capital and total factor productivity.

  • 2030 Climate and Energy Framework for Belgium - Impact assessment of a selection of policy scenarios up to 2050 (29/04/2015)

    On October 17, 2014, the Federal Planning Bureau published the fifth edition of its triennial long-term energy outlook. The report describes a Reference scenario up to 2050 and demonstrates the large discrepancy between this Reference scenario and what is necessary to be on track for the EU 2030 Climate/Energy Framework as well as for the low-carbon economy by 2050, hence the need for additional policies and measures. This observation led to the writing of this paper in which three policy driven scenarios that are compatible both with the 2030 and 2050 greenhouse gas emission reduction challenge outlined by the European Council are being scrutinised. The analysis encompasses environmental, energy system, economic and social impacts.

  • Short Term Update 01-15 : Special Topic in this issue - A decomposition analysis of Belgium’s world export market share loss between 1995 and 2012 (01/04/2015)

    Short Term Update (STU) is the quarterly newsletter of the Belgian Federal Planning Bureau. It contains the main conclusions from the publications of the FPB, as well as information on new publications, together with an analysis of the most recent economic indicators.

  • Modelling the future evolution of international migration for Belgium (20/03/2015)

    This Working Paper presents the methodological progress made in projecting international migration. The new methodology is notably based on an analysis of migration flows per nationality and on statistics on reasons for migrating, in order to assess whether economic variables constitute relevant determinants of migration. If they do, the impact of economic determinants on immigration is estimated using econometric methods. The methodology also takes into account the increasing globalization and mobility as well as the expected growth of the global population which boost international migration flows (immigration and emigration). Finally, it grants more stability to the long-term migration projections and, therefore, to the population projections; the annual revisions of long-term migration will be less dependent on the short-term evolution of migration flows.

  • Breakdown of the evolution of the hourly labour costs of the Belgian economy and its sectors, 2000-2010 (06/02/2015)

    This article presents a traditional shift-share decomposition to identify contributions of three effects on the rise in the hourly wage cost in Belgium: changes in the industry composition of total hours worked (composition effect), changes in the structure of employment in terms of categories of workers (employment structure effect), and increases in the hourly wage cost of these individual categories (wage effect).

     

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