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The Federal Planning Bureau (FPB) is a public agency. The FPB makes studies and projections on economic, social and environmental policy issues and on their integration within the context of sustainable development. For that purpose, the FPB collects and analyses data, explores plausible evolutions, identifies alternatives, evaluates the impact of policy measures and formulates proposals. Government, parliament, social partners and national and international institutions appeal to the FPB's scientific expertise. The FPB provides a large diffusion of its activities. The public is informed of the results of its research activities, which contributes to the democratic debate.

News

  • En 2016, la croissance de l’économie belge devrait s’établir à 1,2 % (11/02/2016)

    Conformément à la loi du 21 décembre 1994, l’Institut des comptes nationaux a communiqué les chiffres du budget économique au ministre de l’Économie. Ces prévisions macroéconomiques servent de base au contrôle budgétaire pour l'année 2016 et tiennent compte des mesures prises par le gouvernement dans le cadre de la confection du budget fédéral et du « tax shift », ainsi que des décisions des autres niveaux de pouvoir.

  • Consumer Price Index & Inflation forecasts (02/02/2016)

    Monthly evolution of the consumer price index and of the so-called health index, which is used for the price indexation of wages, social benefits and house-rent.

  • Les tableaux des ressources et emplois 2010 & Les tableaux entrées-sorties 2010 (22/12/2015)

    L’Institut des comptes nationaux (ICN) publie aujourd’hui, mardi 22 décembre 2015, les chiffres des tableaux des ressources et emplois (TRE) et des tableaux entrées‑sorties (TES) pour l’année 2010. Outre les améliorations d’ordre qualitatif apportées aux comptes nationaux détaillés, les TRE 2010 publiés ce jour tiennent compte de l’harmonisation des codes d’activité économique au sein de l’ICN. Les TES 2010, qui reposent sur les TRE 2010, sont publiés pour la première fois conformément à la méthodologie du SEC 2010.

  • On the road again . . . again . . . (08/12/2015)

    L’évolution de la situation des transports en Belgique est suivie avec attention en raison tant de la contribution positive des transports au développement économique et social du pays que de leurs impacts négatifs (embouteillages, accidents, pollution,...). Dans le cadre d’un accord de collaboration avec le SPF Mobilité et Transports, le Bureau fédéral du Plan publie tous les trois ans des perspectives de la demande de transport à long terme en Belgique. Cette troisième édition met en évidence une croissance de la demande de transport de personnes et de marchandises à l’horizon 2030 – à politique inchangée – et présente son impact sur la congestion et les émissions de polluants si celle-ci se réalisait. Le Bureau fédéral du Plan a également analysé, parallèlement à cette publication, les effets à long terme de la réforme des accises frappant les carburants sur l’environnement, le trafic routier et les finances publiques.

  • Présentation des nouvelles perspectives de l’évolution de la demande de transport en Belgique à l’horizon 2030 (09/11/2015)

    Le SPF Mobilité et Transports et le Bureau fédéral du Plan (BFP) ont le plaisir de vous inviter à la présentation des nouvelles perspectives de l’évolution de la demande de transport en Belgique à l’horizon 2030. Une étude de cas montrera ensuite comment les perspectives du BFP sont utilisées pour analyser le rôle du rail dans la mobilité à Bruxelles.

  • Indicators (12/10/2015)

    As announced in the last Short Term Update (June 2015), the Federal Planning Bureau will publish from now on a set of indicators in a new format. This format is based on the one used on the website www.innovationdata.be which provides a set of innovation indicators for Belgium and its Regions. The additional sets of indicators cover topics such as the overall economic situation, economic forecasts, the Europe 2020 Strategy or the macroeconomic imbalance procedure. These indicators are available in the form of tables or figures and will be updated once a week. We would like to take this opportunity to announce the upcoming publication of transport indicators (in December 2015).

    Path : www.plan.be > Indicators

Quick access

Consumer price index & Inflation forecasts

Monthly evolution of the consumer price index and of the so-called health index, which is used for the price indexation of wages, social benefits and house-rent. (Last update : 02/02/2016)

Indicators

To evaluate the current state of the Belgian economy, the FPB regularly updates a series of indicators. The indicators concern the macro-economic stance of the economies of Belgium, its three neighbouring countries and the euro area, as well as the transport industry.(Last update : 09/02/2016)

  • Improving the Stability and Growth Pact by integrating a proper accounting of public investments: a new attempt (21/01/2016)

    Improving the functioning of the Stability and Growth Pact (SGP) is back on the agenda, especially as the decline in public investment resulting from fiscal adjustment processes implemented according to the current Pact rules is seen as a brake on future economic growth. When discussions about a Pact revision in 2005 were under way, several major authors (for instance: Blanchard and Giavazzi in CEPR February 2004) suggested reverting to a golden rule under which the deficit would exclude investment expenditure, net of amortization. The Pact was revised in 2005 but this proposal was not adopted. This paper presents a new attempt to integrate a proper accounting of investment into the Pact by modifying the formula of the MTO (Medium Term Objective for the budget balance), without losing the other dimensions of the present formula: the partial provisioning of the so-called cost of ageing and the accelerated debt reduction for highly indebted countries. In this way, the public investment programme becomes a centrepiece of the structural policy of a government and not the first instrument of a cyclical policy.

  • The relationship between unemployment duration and education - The case of school leavers in Belgium (05/01/2016)

    In this study, we investigate the exit rates from unemployment associated with different levels of education in Belgium during two periods characterised respectively by high (2002-2007) and low economic growth (2009-2014). Our estimated exit probabilities confirm that the chances of leaving unemployment are substantially higher for young unemployed who have followed post-secondary education. Moreover, the probabilities of leaving unemployment for low- and medium-skilled school leavers considerably deteriorated between the two periods. On the one hand, the penalty associated with lower education slightly increased while, on the other hand, the advantage associated with postgraduate tertiary education reinforced itself. Finally, our results show considerable heterogeneity according to region of residence and gender.

  • Fuel excise reform in Belgium - Long term effects on the environment, traffic and public finance (08/12/2015)

    This paper seeks to analyze the long term effects on traffic, environmental quality and public finance of the planned reform of fuel excise duties in Belgium. In the framework of a large scale tax reform, the Belgian federal government will implement an equalization of diesel and petrol excise rates over the 2016-2018 period.

  • An estimation method for the cyclical and structural components of the variation in the debt ratio (09/11/2015)

    This study presents a method for decomposing the annual variation of the debt ratio among the cyclical, structural and one-off components, thus making it possible to identify the structural conditions for a positive or negative snowball effect. The study shows that the cyclical component may be significant and, depending on the year, partially hide the structural component of the endogenous debt development. The method differs from the European Commission method for estimating a cyclically-adjusted debt. Compared with it, our method estimates a cyclical component that is better correlated with the level and variation of the output gap. Finally, the study discusses the advisability and feasibility of taking into account equilibrium inflation and interest rate in the approach.

  • A brief outline of Belgium’s ICT industry – economic significance and position compared to the neighbouring countries (15/10/2015)

    This study discusses the production and use of ICT in Belgium, and identifies its strengths and weaknesses in comparison with the neighbouring countries. It covers both ICT goods and services, noting that the production of services is almost seven times as high as the production of goods. In this study, the use of ICT is limited to their use as a production factor, but not as a consumption good.

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