To promote transparency and provide information, the Federal Planning Bureau regularly publishes the methods and results of its works. The publications are organised in different series, such as Outlooks, Working Papers and Planning Papers. Some reports can be consulted here, along with the Short Term Update newsletters that were published until 2015. You can search our publications by theme, publication type, author and year.
The concepts of potential growth and output gap are important tools to evaluate the state of the business cycle and to assess the supply-side capacity of an economy. They have also become an essential ingredient of the European fiscal surveillance process. However, the global economy is facing its most widespread crisis in the post-war era and consequently the uncertainty regarding the impact of the crisis on supply-side conditions is enormous. In this Working Paper we compare revisions on potential growth for Belgium made recently by the Federal Planning Bureau and international organizations. Those comparisons aim at highlighting the uncertainty associated with those revisions as well as understanding better some of the channels through which the crisis may reduce potential output.
Macroeconomic forecasts and analyses > Medium-term projections and macrosectoral analyses
Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > Econometric Modeling [C5]
Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics > General Aggregative Models [E1]
Economic Development, Technological Change, and Growth > Economic Growth and Aggregate Productivity > Measurement of Economic Growth; Aggregate Productivity [O47]