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In this study, we investigate the exit rates from unemployment associated with different levels of education in Belgium during two periods characterised respectively by high (2002-2007) and low economic growth (2009-2014). Our estimated exit probabilities confirm that the chances of leaving unemployment are substantially higher for young unemployed who have followed post-secondary education. Moreover, the probabilities of leaving unemployment for low- and medium-skilled school leavers considerably deteriorated between the two periods. On the one hand, the penalty associated with lower education slightly increased while, on the other hand, the advantage associated with postgraduate tertiary education reinforced itself. Finally, our results show considerable heterogeneity according to region of residence and gender.
Mathematical and Quantitative Methods > Econometric and Statistical Methods: Special Topics > Duration Analysis [C41]
Health, Education, and Welfare > Education [I2]
Labor and Demographic Economics > Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies > Unemployment: Models, Duration, Incidence, and Job Search [J64]
Labor and Demographic Economics > Mobility, Unemployment, and Vacancies > Public Policy [J68]